Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000178 0.000197 0.000218 0.000243 0.000270 0.000300 0.000335
2025-02-16 0.000138 0.000166 0.000199 0.000240 0.000290 0.000351 0.000430
2025-02-23 0.000115 0.000146 0.000184 0.000237 0.000306 0.000395 0.000521
2025-03-02 0.000100 0.000133 0.000176 0.000238 0.000324 0.000443 0.000622
2025-03-09 0.000089 0.000123 0.000169 0.000237 0.000339 0.000486 0.000719
2025-03-16 0.000077 0.000110 0.000156 0.000227 0.000337 0.000504 0.000782
2025-03-23 0.000071 0.000104 0.000151 0.000228 0.000352 0.000547 0.000890
2025-03-30 0.000067 0.000101 0.000152 0.000237 0.000379 0.000612 0.001044
2025-04-06 0.000061 0.000094 0.000145 0.000232 0.000382 0.000640 0.001135
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000085 0.000134 0.000221 0.000374 0.000644 0.001184
2025-04-20 0.000051 0.000082 0.000132 0.000222 0.000387 0.000689 0.001317
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000080 0.000132 0.000228 0.000409 0.000753 0.001497
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000075 0.000126 0.000224 0.000413 0.000783 0.001618
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000072 0.000124 0.000225 0.000428 0.000839 0.001804
2025-05-18 0.000040 0.000069 0.000120 0.000223 0.000436 0.000881 0.001968
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000066 0.000118 0.000225 0.000451 0.000940 0.002185
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000224 0.000461 0.000992 0.002392
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000059 0.000108 0.000215 0.000451 0.000994 0.002473
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000057 0.000107 0.000216 0.000465 0.001054 0.002722
2025-06-22 0.000030 0.000056 0.000108 0.000224 0.000495 0.001160 0.003121
2025-06-29 0.000028 0.000054 0.000104 0.000219 0.000495 0.001189 0.003304
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000050 0.000098 0.000208 0.000479 0.001174 0.003353
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000048 0.000096 0.000210 0.000493 0.001241 0.003671